notepad-ideas-since-2018 / idea #1

A Century of Disasters

125 years of the world's disasters, natural and man-made, and what the data says about the link between technology and staying alive. Built on EM-DAT via Our World in Data plus a hand-curated event catalog.

01 · The raw record

Deaths from natural disasters, year by year

Every year since 1900, on a log scale: a flood year in the 1930s killed a thousand times more people than a bad year does now. Hover for the breakdown; the spikes are named.

Global deaths from natural disasters per year, 1900-2025

Log scale. Source: EM-DAT via Our World in Data.
Table view
02 · The technology link

Deaths collapsed as warning technology arrived

Adjusted for population, dying in a disaster is about 46× less likely than in the 1920s. The diamonds under the bars are the technologies and institutions that did it. Hover each one. Meanwhile the number of recorded disasters went up, not down.

Disaster deaths per 100,000 people, decade average

Deaths ÷ world population, per year, averaged by decade. Diamonds: warning & safety milestones.
Table view (rate + milestones)

Disasters recorded per year

More satellites, sensors and reporting, and a warming climate, mean far more events enter the record. More disasters seen, fewer people dead.
Table view
03 · What kills, by era

The killers changed

Early-century mega-deaths came from floods and droughts: famine-scale events that modern logistics and forecasting ended. Earthquakes never went away, and extreme temperature is the one that's growing.

Average annual deaths by disaster type, per decade

Stacked; hover a bar for the full breakdown.
Table view
04 · Event explorer

Major disasters, one by one

A curated catalog of the century's major disasters: natural, man-made, and the messy in-between (dam failures in storms, policy famines, neglected defenses). Log scale; every dot is an event. Hover or tab to a dot for the story.

Deaths per event vs. year

Death tolls are best estimates. Many are disputed; ranges noted per event. Curated from public records (Wikipedia, EM-DAT, NOAA).
Table view: filtered events
05 · The satellite view

What the satellites are watching

Every open event in NASA's EONET tracker, no basemap needed; the disasters draw the continents themselves. This is what "we see more disasters than ever" looks like: one agency's satellite feed logs thousands of events a year, most of which would never have entered a 1950s record.

5,393 events tracked by NASA EONET, 2002-2025

Table view: counts by category and year
06 · What the data says

Six findings